Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000533 0.000607 0.000686 0.000775 0.000873 0.000978 0.001098
2026-02-01 0.000418 0.000520 0.000635 0.000776 0.000940 0.001125 0.001348
2026-02-08 0.000341 0.000452 0.000584 0.000751 0.000955 0.001193 0.001492
2026-02-15 0.000285 0.000400 0.000543 0.000731 0.000968 0.001255 0.001623
2026-02-22 0.000248 0.000366 0.000519 0.000727 0.000996 0.001331 0.001772
2026-03-01 0.000219 0.000340 0.000501 0.000726 0.001027 0.001408 0.001921
2026-03-08 0.000193 0.000313 0.000478 0.000717 0.001044 0.001467 0.002047
2026-03-15 0.000169 0.000287 0.000456 0.000705 0.001055 0.001517 0.002161
2026-03-22 0.000158 0.000279 0.000456 0.000725 0.001108 0.001623 0.002352
2026-03-29 0.000146 0.000268 0.000452 0.000736 0.001149 0.001714 0.002524
2026-04-05 0.000131 0.000250 0.000435 0.000727 0.001162 0.001765 0.002642
2026-04-12 0.000117 0.000233 0.000418 0.000718 0.001172 0.001812 0.002755
2026-04-19 0.000108 0.000223 0.000412 0.000725 0.001207 0.001895 0.002921
2026-04-26 0.000099 0.000212 0.000404 0.000727 0.001233 0.001967 0.003074
2026-05-03 0.000086 0.000193 0.000380 0.000703 0.001219 0.001979 0.003141
2026-05-10 0.000075 0.000177 0.000360 0.000684 0.001212 0.001999 0.003219
2026-05-17 0.000068 0.000167 0.000350 0.000680 0.001227 0.002053 0.003347
2026-05-24 0.000062 0.000159 0.000342 0.000680 0.001246 0.002115 0.003487
2026-05-31 0.000056 0.000149 0.000330 0.000671 0.001253 0.002155 0.003596
2026-06-07 0.000050 0.000139 0.000317 0.000660 0.001254 0.002187 0.003693
2026-06-14 0.000048 0.000138 0.000321 0.000678 0.001305 0.002298 0.003911
2026-06-21 0.000045 0.000134 0.000320 0.000689 0.001343 0.002389 0.004100
2026-06-28 0.000041 0.000127 0.000310 0.000681 0.001349 0.002429 0.004213